In an interview on CNBC on Thursday, the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago member, Austan Goolsbee, commented on the inflation data released today in the United States, which showed a slower-than-expected deceleration in both the general and core Consumer Price Index for the month of September.
The key points from Goolsbee's interview were:
- The inflation data came close to expectations, and there is an improvement in housing sector inflation.
- There is still a lot of incoming data regarding what is next, and nothing is off the table right now.
- There were differences in opinion during the recent series of Federal Reserve meetings, and it's likely that future meetings will have some differences as well.
- The Federal Reserve does not want to be ahead or behind in its policy moves.
- The labor market has slowed down but is still at full employment levels.
- The Federal Reserve's projections show that the overwhelming majority expect a moderate decline in interest rates over the next 12 to 18 months.
- The Federal Reserve needs to adopt a longer-term view.
- If the data continues to show that employment is not deteriorating, that will alleviate some of my concerns.
- The overall trend is clearly that inflation has decreased significantly.
- It is likely that the Federal Reserve meetings will be more aligned in views.
- There is still a lot of data to be released before our meeting in November.
- Concerns about negative tightening are no longer significant now that the Federal Reserve has begun to move at the next meeting.